[conspire] (OT) Peter Zeihan, geopolitics writer

[Tony Godshall]

Oops.  I meant 28 minutes in.
https://youtu.be/BSpT0yEtFBY?start=28m
<https://youtu.be/BSpT0yEtFBY?start=30m>



On Wed, Dec 14, 2022, 14:22 Tony Godshall <apgodshall at gmail.com> wrote:

> I find his analysis of semiconductor manufacturing shortages particularly
> insightful. 30 minutes in
>
> https://youtu.be/BSpT0yEtFBY?start=30m
>
>
>
> On Tue, Dec 13, 2022, 15:28 Rick Moen <rick at linuxmafia.com> wrote:
>
>> ----- Forwarded message from Rick Moen <rick at linuxmafia.com> -----
>>
>> Date: Tue, 13 Dec 2022 14:26:51 -0800
>> From: Rick Moen <rick at linuxmafia.com>
>> To: [someone I know]
>> Subject: Peter Zeihan, geopolitics writer
>>
>> (You could skip down to "HERE FIRST".)
>>
>> Mr. Peter Zeihan is a guy who looks to be about in his 40s (just
>> checked; he's 49), who was born in Iowa and has lived various places in
>> the Midwest (currently Colorado), but earns a comfortable living telling
>> people about his understanding of where the world's going over the next
>> 30-ish years.  And he's written four fascinating books so far, issued
>> from 2014 to 2022, on that subject.  He has deep background in the
>> energy industry (chiefly oil/gas) and was in the 2000s a chief analyst
>> at Stratfor (Strategic Forecasting, Inc.), a consulting/publishing firm
>> in Austin that studies security issues and geopolitical risk for
>> individual and enterprise customers -- which experience and his
>> cherished arguments, there, with a now-deceased colleague he credits for
>> honing his understanding of world affairs.
>>
>> Unlike any number of kooks who sell predictiona, Zeihan is cheerfully
>> willing to admit when he was wrong, e.g., even though he impressively
>> predicted Russia's war on Ukraine and when/how/why it would happen,
>> he along with just about everyone else was taken by surprise by how much
>> of a paper tiger Russia's armed forces turned out to be, and how Ukraine
>> has utterly failed to roll over.
>>
>> I first noticed him in a YouTube interview, which got my attention
>> because he seems sane, utterly non-ideological (or rather, skilled at
>> distinguishing between what he wants and what _is_), and insightful.
>> That, in turn, lead me to read his first book, the 2014 one -- which was
>> impressive, among other reasons, for his having predicted the Ukraine
>> war and the takeover of Crimea a year before it happened.  And saying
>> when it would happen and why.
>>
>> Books:
>>
>> 1. The Accidental Superpower: The Next Generation of American
>> Preeminance and the Coming Global Disorder (2014).  Review in
>> brief:
>>
>> https://www.kirkusreviews.com/book-reviews/peter-zeihan/the-accidental-superpower/
>>
>>
>> 2.  The Absent Superpower: The Shale Revolution and a World Without
>> America (2017).  Review in brief:
>>
>> https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/book-review-the-absent-superpower-by-peter-zeihan
>>
>>
>> 3. Disunited Nations: The Scramble for Power in an Ungoverned World
>> (2020).  Review in brief:
>> https://www.kirkusreviews.com/book-reviews/peter-zeihan/disunited-nations/
>>
>>
>> 4. The End of the World is Just the Beginning: Mapping the Collapse of
>> Globalization (2022).  Review in brief:
>>
>> https://www.kirkusreviews.com/book-reviews/peter-zeihan/the-end-of-the-world-is-just-the-beginning/
>>
>>
>>
>> I follow _new_ things Zeihan says via
>>
>> o  His Twitter feed.  https://nitter.hostux.net/PeterZeihan/with_replies
>> [1]
>> o  His newsletter.  https://zeihan.com/newsletter/
>> o  His YouTube channel.  https://www.youtube.com/@ZeihanonGeopolitics
>>
>> New entries on his newsletter and YouTube video series get mentioned on
>> his Twitter feed, so you need only the first of those three links.
>>
>>
>> HERE FIRST:  But where I recommend you give him a try _first_ is an
>> online interview Zeihan did a week ago for the Commonwealth Club of San
>> Francisco (1 hour):  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BSpT0yEtFBY
>>
>> I _do_ feel that, in reading and watching Zeihan, I understand the world
>> better, much better than I do in merely reading the daily news.  (I'm
>> aware that makes me sound like a conspiracy loon.  FWIW, Zeihan is
>> about the opposite of a conspiracy thinker.  He talks about verifiable
>> long-term trends and consequences.)
>>
>>
>> [1] That's reading Zeihan's Twitter feed via an open-source proxy
>> service called "Nitter", which delivers Twitter content without
>> advertising and without surrendering your privacy to crazy
>> billionaieres.
>>
>>
>> ----- End forwarded message -----
>>
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