[conspire] (OT) Peter Zeihan, geopolitics writer

[Tony Godshall]

I find his analysis of semiconductor manufacturing shortages particularly
insightful. 30 minutes in

https://youtu.be/BSpT0yEtFBY?start=30m



On Tue, Dec 13, 2022, 15:28 Rick Moen <rick at linuxmafia.com> wrote:

> ----- Forwarded message from Rick Moen <rick at linuxmafia.com> -----
>
> Date: Tue, 13 Dec 2022 14:26:51 -0800
> From: Rick Moen <rick at linuxmafia.com>
> To: [someone I know]
> Subject: Peter Zeihan, geopolitics writer
>
> (You could skip down to "HERE FIRST".)
>
> Mr. Peter Zeihan is a guy who looks to be about in his 40s (just
> checked; he's 49), who was born in Iowa and has lived various places in
> the Midwest (currently Colorado), but earns a comfortable living telling
> people about his understanding of where the world's going over the next
> 30-ish years.  And he's written four fascinating books so far, issued
> from 2014 to 2022, on that subject.  He has deep background in the
> energy industry (chiefly oil/gas) and was in the 2000s a chief analyst
> at Stratfor (Strategic Forecasting, Inc.), a consulting/publishing firm
> in Austin that studies security issues and geopolitical risk for
> individual and enterprise customers -- which experience and his
> cherished arguments, there, with a now-deceased colleague he credits for
> honing his understanding of world affairs.
>
> Unlike any number of kooks who sell predictiona, Zeihan is cheerfully
> willing to admit when he was wrong, e.g., even though he impressively
> predicted Russia's war on Ukraine and when/how/why it would happen,
> he along with just about everyone else was taken by surprise by how much
> of a paper tiger Russia's armed forces turned out to be, and how Ukraine
> has utterly failed to roll over.
>
> I first noticed him in a YouTube interview, which got my attention
> because he seems sane, utterly non-ideological (or rather, skilled at
> distinguishing between what he wants and what _is_), and insightful.
> That, in turn, lead me to read his first book, the 2014 one -- which was
> impressive, among other reasons, for his having predicted the Ukraine
> war and the takeover of Crimea a year before it happened.  And saying
> when it would happen and why.
>
> Books:
>
> 1. The Accidental Superpower: The Next Generation of American
> Preeminance and the Coming Global Disorder (2014).  Review in
> brief:
>
> https://www.kirkusreviews.com/book-reviews/peter-zeihan/the-accidental-superpower/
>
>
> 2.  The Absent Superpower: The Shale Revolution and a World Without
> America (2017).  Review in brief:
>
> https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer/book-review-the-absent-superpower-by-peter-zeihan
>
>
> 3. Disunited Nations: The Scramble for Power in an Ungoverned World
> (2020).  Review in brief:
> https://www.kirkusreviews.com/book-reviews/peter-zeihan/disunited-nations/
>
>
> 4. The End of the World is Just the Beginning: Mapping the Collapse of
> Globalization (2022).  Review in brief:
>
> https://www.kirkusreviews.com/book-reviews/peter-zeihan/the-end-of-the-world-is-just-the-beginning/
>
>
>
> I follow _new_ things Zeihan says via
>
> o  His Twitter feed.  https://nitter.hostux.net/PeterZeihan/with_replies
> [1]
> o  His newsletter.  https://zeihan.com/newsletter/
> o  His YouTube channel.  https://www.youtube.com/@ZeihanonGeopolitics
>
> New entries on his newsletter and YouTube video series get mentioned on
> his Twitter feed, so you need only the first of those three links.
>
>
> HERE FIRST:  But where I recommend you give him a try _first_ is an
> online interview Zeihan did a week ago for the Commonwealth Club of San
> Francisco (1 hour):  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BSpT0yEtFBY
>
> I _do_ feel that, in reading and watching Zeihan, I understand the world
> better, much better than I do in merely reading the daily news.  (I'm
> aware that makes me sound like a conspiracy loon.  FWIW, Zeihan is
> about the opposite of a conspiracy thinker.  He talks about verifiable
> long-term trends and consequences.)
>
>
> [1] That's reading Zeihan's Twitter feed via an open-source proxy
> service called "Nitter", which delivers Twitter content without
> advertising and without surrendering your privacy to crazy
> billionaieres.
>
>
> ----- End forwarded message -----
>
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