[conspire] Correction

[Rick Moen]

Quoting Texx (texxgadget at gmail.com):

> You keep telling me to read the article and I did.
> Im just not convinced that it is the "be all end all" on the subject,
> however.

Nobody claimed so.  It was just competent, relevant, timely, and
layman-accessible.

> Its not false, I just dont swallow the whole thing hook line and sinker.

Oh, go on, then?

> I find it interesting that for the last few days NT has been going up by 5k
> per day.
> New Jersey has a curve thats heading that way.
> 
> Meanwhile, the published (and I agree undercounted) rates for CA & WA seem
> to be running linear for most of the last week at 2-300 per day.

{sigh}  There are at least four or five reasons to worry about how  
those confirmed case rates correlated with reality, and whether the
disparity differs from place to place.  Don't you get that?

We aren't going to be certain how this is going until we see how the
ICUs & staff weather the next few weeks.

> Regarding Ricks bet, I give it 50% it gets reinstated a week or two later
> when the numbers start to rise again here.

Not the bet I offered -- and also, you're being vague.

In retrospect, also, what you said upthread didn't make sense, because
although the six counties' shelter-in-place order has a nominal
(initial) expiration date of April 7th, the concurrent statewide order,
saying approximatedly the same thing, has no stated end date.  And I
mentioned all of this upthread, which should have helped you if you're
not really from California and newly arrived from Mars.

> I may have been premature about Fauci.
> Stories are coming out that Trump is getting increasingly frustrated at
> Fauci contradicting him, and Fauci has been missing for the last 2
> briefings.

Sure, reportedly because Kushner(!) tells the Toddler wacky stories he
prefers over Fauci's unvarnished but polite scientific truth.  But
you'll notice the Toddler is making no move to fire Fauci or remove him
from the taskforce, just moving him out of the press conferences.