[conspire] Correction

Texx texxgadget at gmail.com
Tue Mar 24 20:05:21 PDT 2020


Sorry, I read very little for pleasure these days.
I wish I had more time to read for pleasure rather than technical.
Admittedly, before the interview, I probably would not have headed for the
zombie shelf.
My Niece loved "Pride & Predjudice & Zombies", I gather.

Years of flu season have taught me how to not handle doors.
Most office doors are levers which operate with elbows, but your point is
not invalid.

Yesterday, you rattled off a numerical progression based on doubles.
To me that is geometric.  I dont consider doubling a log curve.

Please bear in mind that anything you dont agree with does not make it
"click bait"
I am finding stuff in mainstream news articles.
"Click bait" is "Doctor xrays preganant woman and police arrest her the
next day" and if
you do start down the path, somehow they never quite get to the point.
Now THAT is clickbait.

Someone asked where I was getting my numbers from.
I WAS able to find stats that included daily increases by state but those
graphs are no longer being updated.
I am still able to find it in table form and can make notes to complete the
graphs on my own.

Rick makes a point, this data is drastically under reported.
One one hand, the immediate crisis is keeping CA current rates below 45k
people.
The untested, are likely only minorly affected and wont contribute to the
overwhelming of the system.
BUT.... the un reported that does not require hospital help, deprives us of
the number of people who WONT get it because they have already been through
it.
Missing these people who WONT get it in the future, deprives us of data
that will signal when this thing is REALLY going to ease.

Number crunching this thing, was actually enabling me to cope with this
disaster.
I was very hopeful that we might defy the imperial college numbers.
Mid afternoon, my number crunching led me to believe that it may actually
be worse than Imperial college.

At the moment, Im resigned for the CA lockdown to run another 12 weeks.
While I dread this, I realize that if the US manages to recover from this
before Nov, we are stuck with that fat slop for another 4 years.
I hate this, but Im hoping for zero us recovery before Thanksgiving.

Pity, I wont be around to watch.

Im not horribly spiritual, but the earth is a feedback system.
Humans screw up the environment, the environment comes back with something
to cull the population untill its small enough to stop messing up said
environment.

I previously believed we only needed tests for part of the population, but
Im backtracking on that.

Regarding online Python, I actually found one and Im doing better on the
recruiting programming challenges.
Most recently I learned about ".extend" vs ".append" and that was
interesting.
The interesting thing is that Ive never been comfortable doing "functions"
and that has changed in the last couple months with Python.
The indentation is a pain in the ass, but I still like it anyway.

At the moment, Im not positive the time waas well spent.



On Tue, Mar 24, 2020 at 5:34 PM Rick Moen <rick at linuxmafia.com> wrote:

> Quoting Texx (texxgadget at gmail.com):
>
> > I will take Ricks word for it on the CA lockdown.  I was under the
> > understanding that the CA order was a mirror or the bay area and ended
> > same.  Again I will take Ricks word for it that this is not the case.
>
> Not necessary to take my or _anyone's_ word.  Gov. Newsom's order was
> immediately posted to the public Web and remains there.
> https://covid19.ca.gov/img/Executive-Order-N-33-20.pdf
> (It took me, just now, about ten seconds of Web-searching to find that.)
>
> > Regarding the math thing, there are parts ofd the world that we are
> looking
> > at a geometric rise fast that will decimate some portions of the world.
>
> Not geometric.  _Exponential_.
>
> > I was going to give CA the benefit of the doubt that we MIGHT escape
> > such a rapid rise.  That has changed in the last couple hrs.
>
> Again, to make the same point I've already made several times to you, the
> available data are insufficient to such a conclusion.  You keep citing
> reported confirmed case figures as if they were a reasonable guide to
> reality, but we know they are not, for multiple proven reasons.  They
> are at best a rough _trailing_ indicator about part of what happened a
> week or so ago.  And the reasons why they reveal only _part_ of what
> happened a while ago is ongoing restrictions on, and general
> unavailability of, testing.
>
> Texx, please stop blithering.
>
> During the bubonic plague outbreak of 1665, Isaac Newton went home (from
> Cambridge) to his rustic house, sat in his garden, drank a lot of
> tea[1], and worked out the laws of universal gravitation.  Why don't
> you take inspiration from Sir Isaac, detach yourself from nearly
> meaningless statistics and clickbait news trivia, and at least work
> through an online Python course?
>
>
>
> > Im giving up.
>
> Terrific.  While you're giving up, try an online Python course.
>
> Or sit at home and concentrate on becoming an uncarved rock.
>
> --
> Cheers,                            "Rand Paul being patient zero for a
> Senate
> Rick Moen                          viral outbreak is a sign of a writers'
> room
> rick at linuxmafia.com                dropping too much acid, late in the
> season."
> McQ! (4x80)                                         -- @owillis (Oliver
> Willis)
>
> _______________________________________________
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>


-- 

R "Texx" Woodworth
Sysadmin, E-Postmaster, IT Molewhacker
"Face down, 9 edge 1st, roadkill on the information superdata highway..."
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