[conspire] US COVID-19 1/2,000

[Michael Paoli]

Or, another sobering way to look at the US numbers.

1 in 2,000

For every 2,000 US persons alive before the COVID-19 pandemic,
one is dead from COVID-19.

US population: 328.2 million

$ bc -lq
define p (x,y) {
return(e(y*l(x)))
}
328.2*p(10,6)/2000
164099.99999999999999213161
quit
$

US COVID-19 deaths: 163K ... and that's just the official count,
so reality is probably a bit worse.

$ bc -lq
328200000/(1.2*163*1000)
1677.91411042944785276073
quit
$

So ... probably actually closer to about 1 in 1,675.

And that's not even a year's worth, and mortality stats are
typically given in deaths per 100,000/yr.

$ bc -lq
(1/1678)*100000*2
119.18951132300357400000
quit
$

So that's roughly 120 deaths per year per 100,000/yr. - just for COVID-19.

Not to mention we're still finding out the long term impacts to those
that survive ... including children.

Not looking good.

:-(

Could do and be like NZ but No.... <sigh>

> From: "Michael Paoli" <Michael.Paoli at cal.berkeley.edu>
> Subject: US COVID-19 megadeaths: 0.2 & counting
> Date: Sat, 08 Aug 2020 10:48:04 -0700

> https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/05/05/us/coronavirus-death-toll-us.html
> "200,700 more people have died than usual from March 15 to July 25"  
> ... "54,000 higher than the official count of coronavirus deaths for  
> that period"
>
> What, somebody suppressed about 20% of the numbers?
> That would never happen, right, ... right?
> https://youtu.be/teR8n--vI2Q