AIDS epidemiology: Inconsistencies with human 
immunodeficiency virus and with infectious disease         

by PETER H. DUESBERG


ABSTRACT          The newly defined syndrome AIDS includes 25 unrelated 
parasitic, neoplastic, and noninfectious indicator diseases. Based on
epidemiological correlations, the syndrome is thought to be due to a new, 
sexually or parenterally transmitted retrovirus termed human immunodeficiency
virus (HIV). The following epidemiological data conflict with this 
hypothesis. (i) Noncorrelations exist between HIV and AIDS; for example, the
AIDS risks of infected subjects vary >10-fold with their gender or country.
Abnormal health risks that are never controlled as independent AIDS causes by
AIDS statistics, such as drug addiction and hemophilia, correlate directly
with an abnormal incidence of AIDS diseases. Above all, the AIDS diseases
occur in all risk groups in the absence of HIV. (ii) American AIDS is 
incompatable with infectious disease, because it is almost exclusively 
restricted to males (91%), because if it occurs, then only on average 
10 years after transfusion of HIV, because specific AIDS diseases are not
transmittable among different risk groups, and because unlike a new infectious
AIDS has not spread exponentially since the AIDS test was established and
AIDS received its current definition in 1987. (iii) Epidemiological evidence 
indicates that HIV is a long-established, perinatally transmitted retrovirus.
HIV acts as a marker for American AIDS risks, because it is rare and not 
transmittable by horizontal contacts other than frequent transfusions, 
intravenous drugs, and repeated or promiscuous sex. It is concluded that 
American AIDS is not infectious, and suggested that unidentified, mostly non-
infectious pathogens cause AIDS.


--from PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES U.S.A., Vol 88, 
       pp. 1575-1579, Feb. 1991
  by Peter H. Duesberg, Dept. of Molecular and Cell Biology,
  229 Stanley Hall, Univ. of CA, Berkeley CA 94720