[conspire] CABAL in the time of Cholera^W SARS-CoV-2: March event cancelled

[tom r lopes]

Well there is a study with some actual numbers:
>
> https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.05.20031773v2.full.pdf+html
>
> It's a preprint and the infection has not completed at the time (so #
> deaths maybe higher)
> What is interesting is it's a closed environment and everyone was tested.
> So in this
> ship we know the exact infection rate.
> How this applies to a city population?  Is the "social distance" on a
> cruise ship more or less than normal?
> The number of deaths was low (7 out of 3700 passengers) Maybe the true
> rate is +- 1 or 2.  But if we take the 7 number then we have .2% of the
> total population.  So the estimates we see of
> half million US deaths sound reasonable.
>
> I thought this was very interesting as all other reports I've seen have
> rates for deaths per diagnosed cases, but we don't really know what the
> infection rate is.
>
> Stay safe:  some advice I heard:  Act as if you are already infected.  Try
> hard to prevent spreading to others.
>
> Thomas
>
>
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